Job growth was stronger than expected in June and the payroll gains for the prior two months were revised higher,cementing expectations for the Federal Reserve to start winding down its massive stimulus program as early as September.
6月份就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)好于預(yù)期,此前兩個(gè)月的數(shù)據(jù)也大幅向上修正,增強(qiáng)了美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)最早將于9月著手退出大規(guī)模刺激方案的預(yù)期。(路透)
美國(guó)勞工部5日公布最新統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)顯示,美國(guó)6月份非農(nóng)就業(yè)人數(shù)增加195000人,4月份和5月份的非農(nóng)就業(yè)人數(shù)被修正后,均比之前公布的數(shù)據(jù)增加了70000人。
The jobless rate remained steady at 7.6% of the workforce,according to the data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
根據(jù)勞工部統(tǒng)計(jì)局的數(shù)字,美國(guó)失業(yè)率仍維持在7.6%。(BBC)
失業(yè)率未能下降的主要原因是,更多年輕人重新加入到求職的隊(duì)伍中來(lái),原本依靠低保生活的失業(yè)者重新確立就業(yè)意愿,對(duì)美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)來(lái)說(shuō)應(yīng)該算是一件好事。
Two weeks ago,F(xiàn)ed Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank expected to start cutting back later this year on the $85 billion in bonds it is purchasing each month and would likely bring the program to a complete close by the mid-2014 if the economy progressed as it expected. The jobs report,together with other relatively upbeat data on housing,auto sales and manufacturing,made that plan more likely.
兩周前,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席本·伯南克說(shuō),美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)預(yù)計(jì)將在今年晚些時(shí)候開(kāi)始削減每月850億美元規(guī)模的購(gòu)債方案,如果經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)符合其預(yù)期,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)可能將在2014年中期徹底退出量化寬松。本次公布的就業(yè)報(bào)告,與相對(duì)強(qiáng)勁的住房市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù)、汽車(chē)銷售數(shù)據(jù)和制造業(yè)數(shù)據(jù),共同增加了執(zhí)行此退出計(jì)劃的可能性。(路透)
高盛表示,基于過(guò)去幾個(gè)月好于預(yù)期的就業(yè)市場(chǎng)數(shù)據(jù),預(yù)計(jì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)開(kāi)始縮減量寬規(guī)模將從9月份的貨幣政策會(huì)議開(kāi)始,比之前預(yù)計(jì)的12月會(huì)有所提前,預(yù)計(jì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)的購(gòu)債速度將從現(xiàn)在每個(gè)月的850億美元縮減到650億美元。
If the US economy continues to add jobs at this pace,the unemployment rate should fall from its current 7.6% to 6.5% by the end of 2014. This is the number the Fed has said the US jobs market must reach before it will end its program of suppressing rates.
如果美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)按此速度繼續(xù)增加就業(yè)崗位,失業(yè)率將在2014年年底由當(dāng)前的7.6%降至6.5%。后者是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)此前確認(rèn)的一個(gè)重要“標(biāo)桿”,在美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)終止超低利率之前,失業(yè)率應(yīng)降到該水平之下。(BBC)
華爾街分析師普遍預(yù)測(cè),美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)加息時(shí)點(diǎn)不會(huì)提前,在結(jié)束量化寬松政策后,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將進(jìn)入政策觀察期,這需要相當(dāng)長(zhǎng)的一段時(shí)間,而且結(jié)束低利率環(huán)境也不可能一蹴而就,或許會(huì)從提高存款準(zhǔn)備金率入手,以試探市場(chǎng)反應(yīng)。